스냅차트

Intrafuel Competition Intensifies as the Oil Supply Curve Flattens

A clearing price as low as $60 per barrel would increase the imperative to avoid stranded assets.

스냅차트

Intrafuel Competition Intensifies as the Oil Supply Curve Flattens
A projection of lower cost indices means that today’s view of 2030 yields a clearing price of $60 per barrel
en

Just two years ago, Bain research on the oil supply curve predicted that by 2030, we could see a clearing price of around $100 per barrel, according to one scenario. Since then, changing market demands and reductions in supply costs have ushered in an era of unprecedented competition that will threaten some legacy assets. In our most recent research into the economics of energy markets, our reference case scenario forecasts a considerably flatter supply curve in 2030. This is setting up intense intrafuel competition with profound implications for upstream portfolios. Avoiding stranded assets will be a strategic as well as operational imperative.

Jorge Leis is a partner with Bain & Company’s Oil & Gas practice, which he formerly led in the Americas. He is based in Houston.

Read the Bain Brief

Managing the Energy Transition: Three Scenarios for Planning

A new era of hypercompetitiveness will redefine business boundaries as it threatens to strand legacy assets.

태그

베인에 궁금하신 점이 있으신가요?

베인은 주저 없이 변화를 마주할 줄 아는 용감한 리더들과 함께합니다. 그리고, 이들의 담대한 용기는 고객사의 성공으로 이어집니다.